ATP Finals 2020 predictions: Who will win as Nadal, Djokovic, Thiem compete?

Rafael Nadal and Stefanos Tsitsipas were drawn in the same group as London prepared to stage its final and very different ATP Finals. The ATP would have hoped to go out with a bang after 12 successful years at The O2 Arena, with the tournament also celebrating its 50th anniversary. But the COVID-19 pandemic means the event will take place behind closed doors before it moves to Turin next year.

The groups have been named Tokyo 1970 and London 2020 to mark the half-century, and it was the latter group in which Nadal, still chasing his first victory at the season-ending event, and Tsitsipas were placed during Thursday’s draw.

Joining Nadal and Tsitsipas will be US Open champion Dominic Thiem and Russian debutant Andrey Rublev.

Novak Djokovic heads the Tokyo group and will take on in-form duo Daniil Medvedev and Alexander Zverev, who contested the Paris Masters final last weekend, and the other debutant, Argentina’s Diego Schwartzman.

Djokovic will be hungry for his share of history, according to Greg Rusedski.

The Serbian recently tied Pete Sampras’ record of being the year-end world No 1 on six occasions and victory in London would see him equal Roger Federer’s tally of six ATP Finals victories.

Djokovic claimed four titles in a row between 2012 and 2015 before Andy Murray stopped his winning streak and has not lifted the trophy since then, but Rusedski is backing him to come good at the O2 Arena’s farewell.

“I think Novak Djokovic is going to want to re-establish and tie the record of six with Federer,” Rusedski told the PA news agency.

“I think he is fresh now. His main goal was to get to number one – he did that. He had that little dip in Vienna and didn’t play in Paris.

“To get six year-end number ones is a phenomenal accomplishment, only Pete Sampras has done that. Pete’s accomplishment is still ahead of Novak’s because Pete did it six years in a row.

“But I think he is going to be motivated because he hasn’t won it in a long time and whether you like it or not these guys want records.

“Federer, Djokovic and (Rafael) Nadal want to go down with the most slams, the most ATP Finals wins, the most Masters wins, that is what drives these three incredible legends of the game.”

The ATP Finals predictions below have been provided by

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The figures shown are based on how fans been betting on the tennis.

A spokesperson said: “Novak Djokovic is aiming for a record-equalling sixth ATP title at the O2, but his first since 2015, while Rafael Nadal is targeting a first-ever tournament triumph.

“Both head’s market for the last event to be staged in London before it switches to Turin.

“Djokovic is given a 38.5% chance of success, with rival Roger Federer missing this year, while Nadal is reckoned to have an 18% chance of a maiden success.

“Djokovic has been drawn in a tough group in the eight-man tournament, with Daniil Medvedev, Alexander Zverev and Diego Schwartzman for company.

“The Serb has dominated every member of his group in the head-to-head – leading Medvedev 4-2, Zverev 3-2 and Schwartzman 5-0 – but three tough clashes back-to-back could be draining.

“Medvedev, on the other hand, has not played many matches in 2020 because of a string of early exits, but he did win the Paris Masters last week to salvage a disappointing campaign and freshness could give him an edge. He has a 16.7% chance of winning.

“Nadal, meanwhile, leads Stefanos Tsitsipas and Andrey Rublev 5-1 and 1-0 respectively in their head-to-heads.

“His toughest task in the group might come against World No. 3 Dominic Thiem, who he enjoys a 9-5 edge over, but the pair have never met on indoor hardcourt.”

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