With an over/under of 60, everyone in last week’s NFL DFS contests wanted a piece of the Rams-Saints game, so it’s no surprise three players from that showdown made the Week 9 DraftKings perfect lineup. It is a bit of a surprise all three are from the Saints. Perhaps even more surprising, Maurice Harris and Adam Humphries made the team, which once again should remind you that a good strategy when making daily fantasy football picks, at least for GPP tournaments, is to spend down at wide receiver. Will any of us remember that in Week 10, though? Probably not.
After all, one WR stud did make the team (Michael Thomas), and plenty more had big games. Still, it’s clear that paying up for RB is more reliable, and this week, paying up for QB and TE was also the way to go. That can change from week to week, but the randomness of receiver usually doesn’t. It’s just too easy for a secondary guy to break off a big play or get in the end zone, especially once you factor in the unpredictability of garbage time.
WEEK 10 DFS: Values | Stacks | Lineup builder
As we get set to break down the Week 9 DraftKings perfect lineup, we must remind you that RotoQL, the industry’s leading DFS research site, provided the results and graphic below. RotoQL’s full suite of user-friendly DFS tools, which includes projections from top industry experts and the premier lineup building tool, the RotoQL DFS Optimizer, gives you the ultimate advantage in daily fantasy contests.
Week 10 Rankings:
Quarterback | Running Back | Wide Receiver | Tight End | D/ST | Kicker
NFL DFS: DraftKings Perfect Lineup for Week 9
Drew Brees, QB, Saints
Jared Goff also had a huge day in this game, but Brees came through in the Superdome — like he always does. Perhaps that’s the biggest lesson: Brees is always in play when the Saints are at home. Sure, New Orleans can go run heavy and Taysom Hill could cost Brees some TD chances, but Brees is rarely a bad DFS option in front of the home fans.
Kareem Hunt, RB, Chiefs
If Todd Gurley is the most bankable commodity in fantasy (as we call him), and Melvin Gordon is “Todd Gurley of the AFC” (also as we call him), then what’s Hunt? He’s been every bit as consistently great since Week 1. Hunt has scored in eight straight games after his 141-total-yard, three-TD effort against the Browns in Week 9, totaling 13 TDs in that span. He’s also had at least one receiving TD in four straight games. Even though he only had one catch last week, he had five in the three previous games. The only real knock on Hunt is that he’s only topped 100 rushing yards once and 100 receiving yards once this season, which hurts in formats that award bonuses for 100-yard games, but that’s a small quibble given how automatic he is.
Tevin Coleman, RB, Falcons
This is a surprise given how strong the Redskins had been against RBs and how up and down Coleman had been this year. But sometimes you just have to bank on talented guys in good offenses, as Coleman broke out for a season-high 156 total yards and two TDs (both through the air). Coleman’s receiving ability hadn’t been featured much this season, even with Devonta Freeman out, so it was nice to see utilized more in that role. With Ito Smith also scoring, we’re reminded that Coleman could be outproduced by Smith in any game, but he’ll remain a decent value pick most weeks as long as his price is reasonable.
WEEK 10 DFS CASH LINEUPS: Yahoo | FanDuel | DraftKings (coming soon)
Maurice Harris, WR, Redskins
We always like wide receivers against the Falcons, but most were targeting Paul Richardson or Josh Doctson this week. And while Doctson scored, he had six fewer targets, seven fewer catches, and 93 fewer yards than Harris, who set a career high with a 10-124 line. A chunk of that game in garbage time, so don’t get too excited about Harris’s “breakout”, but he’s still at least on the radar in favorable matchups — while Jamison Crowder (ankle) is out anyway. The real lesson here is load up on guys playing the Falcons in a given week. At least one is going to hit.
Adam Humphries, WR, Buccaneers
We loved Tampa’s TEs heading into last Sunday’s game against Carolina, and indeed, O.J. Howard scored twice, but few were expecting “No. 4 receiver” Humphries to have a monster game. The first problem with that is Humphries really isn’t the No. 4 receiver, at least not lately. Week 9 marked the third straight week in which he’s received at least eight targets. While Mike Evans (10 targets last week) remains the de facto No. 1, supposed Ryan Fitzpatrick-faves DeSean Jackson and Chris Godwin have taken a backseat lately, seeing seven targets between them against the Panthers. Humphries’ 82 yards and two scores certainly seemed fluky, but he can rack up catches. Given how often Tampa is playing from behind, there’s always garbage-time potential. However, with all the mouths to feed in Tampa’s passing game, it really could be any of the aforementioned WRs/TEs who go off in a given week, so there’s no reason to target Humphries unless you really need to save some bucks.
Michael Thomas, WR, Saints
Thomas had only scored once and failed to top 81 yards since Week 3, but you can’t keep a stud receiver in a high-powered offense down for long. We knew the game against the Rams would be a shootout, and while we liked Tre’Quan Smith (who also scored) because of LA’s troubles with secondary receivers, Thomas was simply too good. While paying down at WR is generally recommended, getting a stud in a high total game also has obvious benefits.
WEEK 10 DFS GPP LINEUPS: Yahoo | FanDuel | DraftKings (coming soon)
Travis Kelce, TE, Chiefs
The Browns had really cleaned up their act against TEs this year after struggling for the better part of three seasons, but no one can cover Kelce right now. Since being limited to one catch and six yards by the Chargers in Week 1, Kelce has posted 95-plus yards five times (100-plus three times), scored six TDs, and caught at least five balls in every game. His worst performance in that stretch was a five-catch, 61-yard outing vs. New England, which you can live with from a TE. He’s not cheap, but he seems to be as bankable as virtually anyone, especially relative to his position.
Alvin Kamara, FLEX, Saints
Since taking a surprise backseat to the freshly activated Mark Ingram in Week 5, Kamara has scored in three straight games, totaling six TDs in that span. His yardage totals have been down, but he’s had at least 19 touches in every contest in that span. He’s even getting one-yard TD runs, much to the dismay of Ingram owners. Kamara is a little riskier than upper-tier guys like Gurley, Hunt, and Gordon, but he’s still the kind of player with a high floor and a sky-high ceiling.
You want defenses playing at home against the Jets — remember that.
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