SINCE arriving at Cameron Crockett’s stables, Reprimand hasn’t been tested in her easy wins, but on Wednesday at Warwick Farm she will face her stiffest test.
The I Am Invincible mare lines up in a Benchmark 70 Handicap (1000m) after belting up three fields by a combined total of 14 lengths, including a 6¼-length demolition job at Wellington last start over 900m.
Crockett knows Wednesday’s race will be her toughest but she’s a very confident mare who is in form. “She’s flying,” Crockett said. “Warwick Farm won’t worry her. She got around Wellington and won by more than six lengths, so if she can get around Wellington she can get around anywhere.”
MATT JONES’S BEST BETS
CAMPARI (Race 5, No.6)
Her last-start win looks good on paper but it was even better than that and she’s ready to win in town and 1400m is perfect for her second-up.
LATEST BETTING: TAB FIXED ODDS
SWEET AVA (Race 6, No.5)
This is by far the easiest race she’s contested and if she holds her current form she’ll win, despite it being a competitive little race.
ILWENDO (Race 3, No.2)
Let’s back him to turn the tables on Shangani Patrol this time over an extra 200m. He looks like a nice stayer.
Tim Clark will be in the hotseat on Campari at Warwick Farm. Picture: AAPSource:AAP
Race 4: 7, 8
Race 5: 4, 5, 6
Race 6: 1, 5, 8, 12
Race 7: 2, 4, 6, 12
TRAINER TO WATCH
Don’t be surprised to see JAMES CUMMINGS once again have a winning day at Warwick Farm with all four of his runners looking like winning chances.
JOCKEY TO WATCH
Young hoop ANDREW ADKINS only has two rides but Betty Blooms and Ilwendo are winning hopes.
SCROLL DOWN FOR MATT’S EXTENDED PREVIEW & TIPS
Before coming to Crockett’s stables she ran second, 10th, fifth and eighth.
Since her last-start win on September 10 she has had a 1000m trial win to keep her ticking over and will jump from barrier three with Mathew Cahill again aboard.
“I just put her in my system,” Crockett said. “I just had to lift her confidence.
“She was fractious in the barriers and hitting herself, so we have taped her up heavily. She has such great gate speed and is super quick and very tough.
“We haven’t seen her under pressure yet, which is the question mark, but she has just been far too good in every race I’ve had her in, which is a good sign that she has the ability to come to town.
“We haven’t got cracking on her yet. Mathew hasn’t let her go but this is the next test. She will reach her potential next preparation.”
Trainer Cameron Crockett hopes to snare a winner at Warwick Farm. Picture: Darren England.Source:News Corp Australia
Cahill will drive her forward once again from an ideal gate, and Godolphin’s Beware looks to be her biggest threat.
“She’s a seven-year-old mare but has only had seven starts so we’re not racing against the clock with her,” Crockett said. “She’s still learning and I think she has a few years left in her. She is fairly valuable as a broodmare, though, being a full sister to Fiesta.”
Meraki Miss is the other Crockett runner on the card and she also comes into today’s meeting off a bush win, at Orange over 1000m.
She lines up in a Benchmark 70 Handicap (1200m) and Cahill will ride her from barrier nine, which is ideal.
Crockett believes Meraki Miss has a bright future and he has decided not to shoot her straight up the grades in easier races.
He wants to claim a city win with her but it’s a competitive race against the likes of Pierina, Sweet Ava and Prahaar.
“I think she’s a highway horse in the making,” Crockett said.
“I’m taking her to town because I think she’s going better than when she won at Orange.
“That run has really brought her on in the coat and she has really strengthened up and put on weight. I think she can run a decent race.”
Meraki Miss will be trying to swamp them late.
Jockey Mathew Cahill will continue his association with Meraki Miss. Picture: Mark EvansSource:News Corp Australia
“We’ve been trying to teach her to settle and find the line and we’ll continue that same pattern again,” Crockett said. “She just needs a bit of cover and even though she hasn’t had a start on a soft track I don’t think it will matter.”
Meantime, trainer Paul Cave and Nacho Libre are riding a wave together, so there’s no reason why he can’t match it with the city-class horses at Warwick Farm.
The five-year-old is coming off wins at Kembla Grange and Canberra at his past two runs and has turned into a proper racehorse ahead of his Benchmark 70 Handicap (1600m).
“The horse has pulled up a treat since his last run and is very well,” Cave said.
“I just hope the track improves because he’s not at his best on wet tracks, but I think it will improve for him. No horse minds the jar out of it but we don’t want it chopped up and shifty.
“He’s fit and peaking. He enjoyed a few days out at our farm at Mulgoa after his last run.”
Nacho Libre always had the tools to be a force on the track but needed a break after his last run last preparation in February. Cave knew some time to mature was what Nacho Libre needed and he has come back to fulfil his potential.
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“He has come back this time a lot better,” Cave said. “He didn’t have any serious problems, it was more to do with his attitude. This time back in he wants to work and is generally enjoying his work. He has matured a lot and is a lot more confident in himself.
“Last preparation he wasn’t too sure what was going on but he’s happy as Larry now.”
Cave expects jockey Blake Spriggs to drive Nacho Libre forward and take bad luck out of the equation from barrier nine.
“He has good gate speed so I don’t want him hanging out the back, especially with the way the tracks are playing of late,” he said.
“He did it all very easy at his past two starts and I’d like to think he can do it again. We won’t change what’s working at the moment. The mile looks good for him.”
INSIDE MAIL WITH MATT JONES
RACE 1 (2pm)
Is this 1. Adana’s day? He probably should’ve won already but is still looking for a breakthrough win at start seven. If he’s going to win, it’s here. 3. Flying Legend ran behind a good one on debut so there’s a lot to like about him and he handles the wet. 7. Virtual Insanity has to be the fittest horse in this race after three good runs in Victoria and the 1300m should suit. It will also help 5. Napoleon Solo who found 1100m a touch short last time. Watch out of 6. Taj, he’s a monster of a horse and ran well on debut at the provincials.
BET: FLYING LEGEND to win.
RACE 2 (2.35pm)
1. Betty Blooms debuts and comes off a lovely lead-up trial win and she’s improved off each of her three trails so she should do well here. She beat home 7. Singing Sand by a large margin in that heat but the Godolphin horse will have support. 2. Georgia Hit will improve second-up and she was good enough to run 2½ lengths off star colt Graff in Stakes grade last preparation. 6. Proven Class was given a good hitout in her last trail so expect a forward showing. 8. Sunsuzie was going her best work late last start so watch out for her.
BET: BETTY BLOOMS to win.
RACE 3 (3.10pm)
2. Ilwendo looked like he was going to beat Shangani Patrol at the turn last start but Matthew Dale’s stayer dug deep and nabbed him on the line. These two look hard to separate again over an extra 200m but don’t be surprised if Ilwendo turns the tables. 1. Tamarack gets his chance to get another win by dropping in grade today. If he runs up to his best he’s a huge threat at his home track. 4. Everly Girl is better suited back to 2400m after struggling over 2800m last time. 7. Jagger will keep coming at them as will 6. Red Dubawi.
BET: ILWENDO to win.
RACE 4 (3.50pm)
7. Reprimand is “flying” at the moment, according to trainer Cameron Crockett, and it’s easy to understand why. She’s been belting them up in the bush but will be tested for the first time in a while on city grade here. She’ll push forward and make her own luck. 8. Beware drops in class for his first-up run and he’s running as a gelding for the first time. He’s got the talent to win. 5. Pro Consul loves rain-affected tracks and will like dropping back to 1000m and is the each-way hope of the race. 3. Ellie’s Encore’s form says she’ll do well and the drying track helps.
BET: REPRIMAND to win.
RACE 5 (4.30pm)
4. Watchdog is peaking fitness-wise after a good second-up win in lesser grade, but the step up here isn’t a huge one and he’s got to be a chance again. 6. Campari came over from New Zealand with a bit of hype and he didn’t let punters down by winning well at Wyong, defeating Flamin’ Al who won his next start well so she’s got to be a big hope again. The blinkers helped 5. Andaz last start and he’s raced against some nice types in the past so he’s well-placed in this grade. 1. Chaussure hasn’t raced in two years but was very good in winning two from three.
BET: CAMPARI to win.
RACE 6 (5.10pm)
8. Prahaar should start over the odds. She won at Wyong last start but is a city-class horse. She would have won at Randwick on debut if she didn’t throw the rider in the closing stages when in front. 1. Pierina is a nice type and she’s proven first-up and after two solid trials should be coming at them late. 12. Pohutukawa drops in grade for her fist-up assignment and Godolphin are so good at winning this midweek races at Warwick Farm and she’ll give it a shake. 5. Sweet Ava was less than three lengths off Gem Song last start. A repeat of that run means she wins this. It’s by far the easiest race she’s contested. She hasn’t raced in a month though.
BET: Boxed trifecta 1, 5, 8.
RACE 7 (5.50pm)
4. Nacho Libre has turned the corner this preparation and deserves a crack at city grade and he makes his own luck. He just needs a drying track. 2. Velocita’s last-start win was coming for a while and she can continue that form in the same grade of race with 3.5kg more on her back. 1. Equipped hasn’t won a mile yet but loves the trip and will improve second-up. 6. Danzie is on the quick back up, which is much more ideal than the break he had heading into his last run. 12. Kaapfever is back to his favourite trip now and always runs an honest race. He’s a nice hope if he finds a length.
BET: KAAPFEVER each-way.
Originally published as Raceday focus: Best bets at Warwick Farm
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