There are only so many NFL DFS strategies you can employ on Conference Championship weekend. You can try to completely fade one team and/or load up on one specific game; you can also grab a couple picks from every team, which is probably the most popular option. For our Yahoo daily fantasy football lineup, we’re mostly going with players from the Patriots-Chiefs game, which is somewhat risky given the weather forecast, but we have at least one player from every team.
Just like with our FanDuel and DraftKings lineups, we’re paying up for Travis Kelce, but unlike our other lineups, we’re going with Tom Brady and both of favorite targets as our primary stack. Our other two RBs feel like sure things, and one of our WRs fits into that category, as well. Our third WR and D/ST are major risks, but you need to differentiate in GPPs every week, especially one with only four teams in action.
CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP DFS: FD GPP Lineup | DK GPP Lineup | Lineup Builder
Yahoo Fantasy Football: Conference Championship NFL DFS tournament picks
QB Tom Brady, Patriots @ Chiefs ($30). Brady turned in a vintage performance last week, shredding the Chargers for 343 yards and a TD. He had a similar performance against the Chiefs back in Week 6, throwing for 340 yards and a score (and adding another on the ground). We know what Brady is capable of, and while the possible sub-zero temperatures are a concern for the 41 year old, Kansas City’s subpar defense (sixth most fantasy points allowed to QBs in regular season) might not put up much resistance either way. We’ll take our chances considering Brady is $9 cheaper than Patrick Mahomes II and $4 cheaper than Drew Brees. Jared Goff ($27) is also a great “value” option, but we’re riding with the more proven QB.
RB Alvin Kamara, Saints @ Rams ($29). You can make a strong case for dropping down $9 and just going with Sony Michel, who has a great matchup and is coming off a big game, but we’re hoping Kamara’s high price scares some people away and he’s not as highly owned as he should be. He’s about as automatic as it gets at RB, and we’ve seen his ceiling against this very team in Week 9 when he posted 116 total yards and three touchdowns.
RB James White, Patriots @ Chiefs ($19). An extra dollar would be nice so we could afford Michel, but White isn’t a bad consolation prize. Even though he didn’t have a carry last week, he piled up 97 total yards. He averaged 5.9 carries per game in the regular season (high of nine when Michel was healthy for a full game), so if he hits that mark, he could add 30 or so yards on the ground to whatever he does in the receiving game. Kansas City allowed the third-most fantasy points to RBs during the regular season, and White figures to be involved early and often. He had 11 touches for 92 total yards when these teams met in Week 6.
EARLY 2019 FANTASY RANKINGS:
Quarterback | Running back | Wide receiver | Tight end | D/ST | Kicker
WR Michael Thomas, Saints @ Rams ($31). Thomas is the top-priced WR on both DraftKings and FanDuel, but he’s $3 cheaper than Tyreek Hill on Yahoo. He’s still $10 more expensive than the next wide receivers (Julian Edelman and Robert Woods), but as we’ve seen throughout Thomas’s career, he’s a monster in the playoffs (average line of 9-129-1 in three games).
WR Julian Edelman, Patriots @ Chiefs ($21). In 11 postseason games since the start of 2014, Edelman has 89 catches, 1,100 yards, and three TDs. His lowest target total in that span is nine, which lets you know Brady will be looking his way frequently again. Edelman has about as high of a floor as you’re going to find.
WR Josh Reynolds, Rams vs. Saints ($13). Reynolds only posted one catch for 19 yards (four targets) last week, but he had at least seven targets in three of the four games prior — one of which resulted in a two-touchdown performance. When these teams met in Week 9, Cooper Kupp (5-89-1) and Brandin Cooks (6-114-1) both had big games while Robert Woods (5-71) was also solid, so Reynolds has plenty of upside. The Saints allowed the most fantasy points to WRs in the regular season, and last week they gave up a 37-yard TD to Eagles’ No. 3 receiver Jordan Matthews.
TE Travis Kelce, Chiefs vs. Patriots ($27). Rob Gronkowski is $10 cheaper and has an ideal matchup on paper, but with his role seemingly diminished, we’re opting for Kelce. Gronk could easily erupt for a throwback performance, but with five catches for 70 yards on 11 targets over his past four games, it’s tough to feel too good about him. It’s easy to feel great about Kelce, who caught seven of 10 targets for 108 yards last week and hasn’t had fewer than five catches since Week 1.
FLEX Damien Williams, Chiefs vs. Patriots ($19). The last two times the Chiefs played the Patriots, Kareem Hunt has destroyed them, averaging 114 rushing yards, 101.5 receiving yards, and two TDs. Williams isn’t Hunt, but he’s been doing a pretty good impersonation since taking over as Kansas City’s starter in Week 15. In that four-game span, Williams has averaged 119 total yards while scoring five total touchdowns. He’ll be a popular pick, but coming off a 30-touch, 154-total-yard performance, he’s worth it.
D/ST Patriots @ Chiefs ($11). There are no good D/ST options this week, so we’re just taking the cheapest option and hoping for the best. New England is $3 cheaper than Kansas City, $5 cheaper than the Saints, and $6 cheaper than the Rams, so given the potential poor weather conditions, this isn’t a terrible value.
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